Bitcoin’s Bull Run Against Gold Could Accelerate as U.S.-China Trade Tensions Ease: Chart Analysis

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In recent weeks, Bitcoin (BTC) has significantly outperformed gold (XAU), and this trend is expected to intensify as trade tensions between the U.S. and China ease. This shift in dynamics is supported by bullish developments in the Bitcoin-to-gold ratio, which measures Bitcoin's price against gold's price per ounce.

### Technical Analysis and Market Sentiment

The Bitcoin-to-gold ratio recently broke out of an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, a classic bottoming formation that signals a bearish-to-bullish trend change. This breakout suggests further outperformance by Bitcoin. Technical analysis indicates that the ratio could rise to at least 35.00 from its current level of 32.00. This target is derived by adding the spread between the largest trough and the trendline to the breakout point, signaling a potential move higher for Bitcoin relative to gold.

![BTC-Gold ratio (TradingView/CoinDesk)](http://www.coindesk.com/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fcdn.sanity.io%2Fimages%2Fs3y3vcno%2Fproduction%2Fa4848a4673e5db82f41f63267355e7b7ab4ee296-1793x741.png%3Fauto%3Dformat&w=3840&q=75)

### Market Performance and Trade Developments

Gold's meteoric rally peaked above $3,500 on April 22, but since then, the safe-haven metal has pulled back over 8% to $3,211. In contrast, Bitcoin's price has risen by nearly 19% to $104,000 during the same period. The easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China has contributed to this shift. Both nations have agreed to lower tariffs on goods manufactured in each other's countries, which could lead to a broader return to risk-on positioning.

According to a joint statement released in Geneva, China has proposed reducing tariffs on U.S. goods to 10% from 125% for 90 days. Meanwhile, the U.S. has proposed cutting tariffs on Chinese goods to 30% from 145%. This tariff reduction is expected to benefit crypto and equities, as renewed investor confidence and global capital flows drive market sentiment.

### Expert Insights

Mena Theodorou, co-founder of crypto exchange Coinstash, noted that the rally comes as the macro backdrop takes a positive turn. The U.S. has struck trade deals with both China and the UK, and discussions between Putin and Zelensky are set to take place, potentially leading to a ceasefire. These developments have lifted risk sentiment globally, including in the crypto market.

### Conclusion

As trade tensions ease and market dynamics shift, Bitcoin's bull run against gold is expected to accelerate. The technical analysis and recent market performance support this outlook, indicating a potential move higher for Bitcoin relative to gold. Investors and market watchers will be closely monitoring these developments as they unfold.